themediumisthe

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ELI5: Heteroscedasticity by a_gorillion_dollarsin explainlikeimfive

[–]themediumisthe 1 point2 points ago

I would agree to removing the outliers in that case. There is something clear and identifiable driving those results (the financial crisis I assume, not being a money guy myself). You could simply make a dummy variable for "financial crisis" that turns on in those years - but it's the same practical result really.

ELI5: What's the point of voting for the president(US)? by ReeferGladnessin explainlikeimfive

[–]themediumisthe 11 points12 points ago*

Well I suppose your question is really - why have a President? It's a good question - particularly when keeping in mind that most countries don't have one. Prime Ministers, like in the UK and Canada, are simply the leaders of their parties in the legislature. So for example, if the United States was to have a system like that, John Boehner would be the head of state.

So then, why did the writers of the constitution choose the Presidential system. It all has to do - not surprisingly - with checks and balances. The Founders - and in particular James Madison- were very concerned with power either becoming concentrated in the hands of one person (like a king), OR power being given to a legislature that just did whatever was popular. The house of representatives, being elected every 2 years, are very susceptible to public pressure. If we were to give them ALL the power, their policy decisions would track very closely to what was simply popular at the time. Why this sounds ok on some level - think what would happen to minority rights. If most people wanted to, for example, ban homosexuality - a legislature would simply institute this (for the fear of not being re-elected). This is why the founders set up both the senate, and the presidency, to be more disconnected from the population - so that they could make harder decisions that weren't necessarily the most popular. Keep in mind that the presidency is actually elected by an "electoral college" that was originally meant to involve upstanding citizens, elected by the people, deciding who ought to be president. Even still - the longer time frame between elections, as well as the ability to stay "above the fray" allows the president to make decisions the legislature may not be willing to make (this is obviously less true in the modern period, but that is a whole other discussion). Similarly, the Senate - up until the early 20th century - was not directly elected, but chosen by state legislatures to represent that state in the Senate for 6 year terms - so again, disconnected from the populace.

So really - the short answer to your question is: the founders felt that a purely legislative system would just do what the majority wanted all the time. They felt the Presidency (as well as the Senate, and in a different sense the Supreme Court) would act in a counter-majoritarian way when needed, protecting fundamental rights and making tough decisions.

ELI5: Heteroscedasticity by a_gorillion_dollarsin explainlikeimfive

[–]themediumisthe 1 point2 points ago

Well... I'll assume a basic level of statistic knowledge. So this is more, explain it like i'm 17....

The strength of a linear line of best fit is how close it is to each of the data points. The less it "misses" the data, the better it is. The amount that it "misses" each point of data is what we refer to as the error, or residual. Heteroskedasticity refers to when the error around the line of best fit is not random, but is systematically biased.

Have a look at this regression, looking at the degree of majoritarian democracy in a country (x axis) and the amount of women's parliamentary participation. [Data from Arend Lijphart's "Degrees of Democracy"]

Look at how much the line is missing values on the left hand of the graph rather than the right side. The values are much more tightly clustered for high values of x than low values. This is heteroskedasticity.

We can examine it more directly with an rvfplot(in STATA terminology). This plots the fitted values (what the regression line predicts), against the error terms for each data point. We can see that as the fitted values go up, so do the standard errors. There is a relationship between the values of x and the error. Numerically this is described by the Breush-Ragan test, which examines the relationship between the values of the independent variable and the error terms. We end up with a chi2 of 10.12 for the above regression. Which is high, and confirms our visual findings in the graph. If we make changes to the model to try to reduce heteroskeddasticity, we can compare the result on the Bruesch pagan test. (just a note, if you are using STATA, type "hettest" after a regression to get the Breusch Ragan results)

Now, why is heteroskedasticity a problem? Well if we were just to report the coefficient and significance of the regression line for majoritarian democracy and women's parliamentary representation, we wouldn't really be telling the whole story. Those two numbers alone do not tell us that we aren't doing a very good job of accounting for the very high levels of women's parliamentary representation in Scandinavian countries (a big source of our problem). How do you fix it? Well you could remove the outliers... but that's rather lazy. More generally, we'd want to add further variables into the model in order to capture the very high values for Scandinavia.

Best underrated Radiohead songs? by arsenic_lifeform_4uin radiohead

[–]themediumisthe 1 point2 points ago

Always been one of my favorites. Just an amazingly gorgeous chord progression.

What does johnny use to go crazy at the end of go to sleep on live versions? Who triggers that effect? by Gomezthegoatin radiohead

[–]themediumisthe 1 point2 points ago

It's a good thing reddit isn't a competition or anything.

The Official Unofficial r/Radiohead Best Album Thread. by Beetsoin radiohead

[–]themediumisthe 1 point2 points ago

  1. OK Computer
  2. In Rainbows
  3. Hail to the Thief
  4. Kid A
  5. Amnesiac
  6. King of Limbs
  7. The Bends
  8. Pablo Honey

Reddit, what is a concept that despite all explanation you simply cannot grasp? by CUCUMB3Rin AskReddit

[–]themediumisthe 0 points1 point ago

Read this: How Democratic is the American Constitution? by Robert Dahl (the grandpapa of political science)

Anyone need 2 tickets to the Montreal show Friday June 15th? by DrKoalain radiohead

[–]themediumisthe 0 points1 point ago*

Hey I sent you a PM earlier today. I'm interested in buying both of them.

Nirvana rehearsing "the man who sold the world" just before the Unplugged in NY by Milhaudin Music

[–]themediumisthe 1 point2 points ago

Definitely the cello, which is doubling Kurt's guitar... as Cellos are hard to play precisely in tune, it makes it easier to hear (and created a pretty cool effect).

So what is going on with all the student strikes? by Harutinatorin montreal

[–]themediumisthe 1 point2 points ago

McGill Prof's are not unionized.

McGill graduate students vote in favour of a 3-day strike in support of the student movement against tuition hikes by Tweeekedin montreal

[–]themediumisthe 9 points10 points ago

Hell, I'm an early 20's political science student and I didn't know we voted..... Strikes are pretty innefective when started at a GA with low attendance.

Official Gloat-About-Your-Tickets Thread by buhumothin radiohead

[–]themediumisthe 2 points3 points ago

WE DID IT!!!

See you there Hombre.

I just ate Garlic Fingers,an eastern Canadian dish. What are some of food specialties specific to your region r/food? by The_Mafin food

[–]themediumisthe 1 point2 points ago

I'm an eastern Canadian who just found out the rest of earth doesn't have garlic fingers....

Poutine Burger. Yes you heard me right by Shufflebuffin food

[–]themediumisthe 0 points1 point ago

Heyo fellow Montrealer. May I ask more specifically where to find this burger?

What was the number one hit single when you were born? by Little_Mousein AskReddit

[–]themediumisthe 1 point2 points ago

sorry, this has been archived and can no longer be voted on

Did you enjoy the world not ending on your birthday this year? Cause I did.

Elvis Costello plays to sparse crowd at Osheaga. Hipsters - YOU'RE DOING IT WRONG. by IciRadioCanadain canada

[–]themediumisthe 1 point2 points ago

sorry, this has been archived and can no longer be voted on

Haha perhaps it was still a little loose when I wrote that. We all make mistakes, leave it to reddit to point them out...

Elvis Costello plays to sparse crowd at Osheaga. Hipsters - YOU'RE DOING IT WRONG. by IciRadioCanadain canada

[–]themediumisthe 1 point2 points ago

sorry, this has been archived and can no longer be voted on

I was loosing my mind in the front row, and was called up on stage to request a song (I Want You) and dance.

Signed - A hipster doing it right.

Costello is the boss.

On stage with my hero last night. You the man Elvis!!! by themediumisthein Music

[–]themediumisthe[S] 0 points1 point ago

sorry, this has been archived and can no longer be voted on

For the record I requested, and got to here, I Want You.

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